Delaware's Kent County last missed in 1992. Hes happy about the passage of the First Step Act, criminal justice reform that Trump signed into law in 2018, which includes decreased sentences for some drug crimes, and also makes it easier to get out of prison early for good behavior. Its education level is a little lower25 percent have a bachelors degree or higher, compared to 33 percent nationally. Now, being more than $3 a gallon, people are beginning to notice it more as its putting a pinch on their wallets. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. "The Wall Street Journal and The Epoch Times independently analyzed the results of 19 counties around the United States that have nearly perfect presidential voting records over the last 40 years. This claim is basically absurd. The economy and good-paying jobs always have been an issue up here.. Mainstream polls are suggesting a Pennsylvania win for Biden, but, if the 2016 polls were anything to go by, theyre about as useful as a screen door on a submarine. Swept up in unproven voter fraud claims, the Shasta County Board of Supervisors has upended the county's election process, canceling its contract with . Timeline: Rep. Jim Jordan, a Systematic Disinformation Campaign, and Bellwethers must make correct predictions regardless of which party wins election, but polarization makes it increasingly likely that counties will split into ones that vote regularly for a Republican or for a Democratic presidential nominee. "The three potentially competitive races in Virginia with Democratic incumbents could be a national bellwether," veteran Virginia political analyst Bob Holsworth told The Epoch Times. He was concerned about the situation in Ukraine. . His message to Trump is: Shut up and quit twittering. I think thats what the world needed. Wolf has allowed for the counting of ballots to continue for three days after Nov. 3, meaning its unlikely that a winner will be called in Pennsylvania for at least a week after the election. We live in an evenly divided nation, and the past five presidential elections demonstrate that well with their extremely close outcomes, Bergbower, an associate professor at Indiana State University, said in an email to The Epoch Times. A small-business owner, who didnt want to be identified, said hes voting for Biden. But you cant winem all, Beggs, 80, told The Epoch Times. The price of regular gas at the local Sheetz was $2.53already substantially higher than across the border in West Virginia, where $2.19 was the norm. The researchers also mapped all American counties (over 3,000) by their bellwether scorethat is their record of voting for the overall winner in each of the previous 10 presidential electionsgiving progressively larger weight to more recent elections. We need to make ourselves energy independent again. In 2020, all but one of the bellwethers picked President Donald Trump by a margin of some 16 points on average. And the media is just taking it overboard., Shepherd said of Trump: I do know that he is not a selfish person. Bellwether counties went overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020 Martin thinks the Democrats could have chosen a better candidate than Biden. Jacobs believes theres more enthusiasm for Trump now than before the 2016 electionin Elk County and around the country. It also has a failing manufacturing sector with once Democratic-leaning union workers who may have found Trumps America First message appealing in recent years. When you were in the union, they always wanted you to vote for Democrats, Paul said. The United States needs to get back to where were responsible, energy independent, and get away from the thought process of these liberal socialists in office., Government is out of control, he added. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. In particular, recent research which identified nineteen bellwether counties found that they "tended to be whiter, older, less educated, have lower median incomes, have a lower percentage of workers in the labor force, and have higher rates of vacant housing than the country as a whole." The counties that predict presidential election winners didn't this He also believes many local Biden voters made the decision to vote for the Democratic candidate years ago, but theyre not going to be vocal about it.. More importantly, someone needs to be in office who understands that running the country is like running a business, said Hawker, who worked as a staff engineer for Bendix Braking Systems in Elyria for 52 years. He told The Epoch Times that hes facing workforce shortages and currently only has 18 cookshalf of what he normally would have. Today, there are also 14,183 independents registered to vote and five libertarians, according to the Ottawa Countys Board of Elections website. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Many of its residents include farmers, retirees who love to fish, and more than 3,300 military veterans. Eleven of the nineteen were located in just six Midwestern states, and Wisconsin alone is home to four, they said. On Sept. 14, a federal judge ruled Wolfs shutdown and restrictions on businesses unconstitutional, but the governor has since appealed. A diverse group of residents, many were surprised to wake up the morning of Nov. 4, 2020, to see that Joe Biden overtook Trumps leads in numerous battleground states from the night beforesuch as in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Perhaps that is why they are a true bellwether county, not fully committing to one political party over the other. In addition to Florida Gov. We want to get people off of welfare, we need to get people back into working again, being self sustainable. Youre not getting anybody perfect. As the 2022 mid-term elections near (May 3 in Ohio), one might think that the Republican and Democratic headquarters might be open and in full swing, but at both party offices the week of Feb. 21, the lights were out and no one was occupying the desks inside or answering the phones. Plastic cups and straws also have been hard to come by because they require natural gas in their manufacturing process. We have vendors and suppliers we contract with, Chamberlin said. The counties are also mostly small and rural. Moreover, once we allow for bellwethers to have less than perfect records of success, the expected numbers of bellwethers increases much more rapidly than most (including us) would expect. He likes how the Democratic Party helps lower-income people. The issues most important to Jacobs are immigration, the health care system, and socialism. Most of the jobs up here are part-time or seasonal. The price of gas at the Marathon gas station in Port Clinton was $3.39 a gallon on Feb. 22 whenDave Beggs, anarmy veteran and retired City of Port Clinton heavy equipment operator, pulled in. Ive heard all the whiners complaining about what hes doing, but I havent really seen anything hardcore. Were still there right now as a bellwether county, but we dont know whether well keep it up.. Westmoreland is the only one in the South; Clallam is the only county on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. For example, a county might be said to be a "bellwether county" if it consistently votes the same way as the majority of the state. The way the system works now, if you get in as a young person on something small, its very hard to get out. Those who believe that Donald Trump won the 2020 presidential election have held up his victories in many bellwether counties as evidence of electoral fraud. Now, its the situation with Russias invasion of Ukraine and how that might affect the world and its economies. Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020 - The Epoch Times Both Hidalgo and Valencia County, New Mexico, are close to 60 percent Hispanic, while Westmoreland County in Virginia is almost one-third black. My opinion is thats just what it is, Shepherd said of COVID-19. Epoch Times, Gateway Pundit, and EveryLegalVote.com show a different electoral vote count for two reasons: They exclude states with pending litigation or recounts, subtracting votes from. Westmoreland County, Virginia, is almost one third black. March 3, 2023 Updated: March 3, 2023. Florida's I-4 corridor: Where presidents get picked Ever since COVID started, it hasnt gotten any better.. We have to figure out a way to control fuel prices. Well just have to wait and see who will go into the building. Since its founding in 1853 it has only got 13 out of the 37 extant elections right. There are three counties that voted with the eventual winner for each of the past 10 elections,. Global Trade Policy Challenges: preparing for the next decade, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported. Wood (population 132,248), and Ottawa, are known as bellwether counties for picking the presidential candidate who wins the White Housebut it is uncertain whether Wood County can maintain. When he became a Christian, he struggled with his unions blind support for Democratic candidates, most of whom arent pro-life, he said. For Brendon, another resident of Riley who declined to disclose his last name, his spiritual belief will lead him not to vote at all this year. In both of the missteps, the residents wrongly picked the losing Democrat: Williams Jennings Bryan over President William Taft in 1908 and Adlai Stevenson over President Dwight Eisenhower in 1952. Mike DeWine is running for reelection and facing candidates Joe Blystone, Jim Renacci, and Ron Hood in the primary. The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. I just got on Social Security disability, because I cant work anymore. Blaine County. In politics, the term often applies in a metaphorical sense to characterize a geographic region where political tendencies match in microcosm those of a wider area, such that the result of an election in the former region might predict the eventual result in the latter. He says Democratic Gov. Federalist: 5 Ways Biden Unusually Outperformed Norms Natural gas is a key ingredient in the process used to make the nitrogen-based fertilizer used on crops such as corn and wheat. She shook her head at the high price of gas. Westmoreland is the only one of the counties in the South, Clallam is the only one on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. Both Hidalgo and Valencia County, New Mexico, are close to 60 percent Hispanic. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. US election results: Why the most accurate bellwether counties were We need to be safe, and I dont think we are right now.. Right now, its horrible. Sam, who is a truck driver for Four City Technologies in Wellington but lives in Marblehead, said he drives about 400 miles a day to deliver bolts, nuts, and screws used in the auto industry. (Cara Ding/The Epoch Times). Epoch Times Canada (@EpochTimesCan) November 16, 2020. When gas went up that time, our sales went down to zero, Zulch said. Previously, he covered national topics including politics, economy, education, and law enforcement. Hawker told The Epoch Times he voted for Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, and if he wouldve been re-elected, the country wouldnt be facing the problems they are having now. July 4, 2022 bellwether counties epoch timesdid benjamin franklin help write the declaration of independencedid benjamin franklin help write the declaration of independence Tisdell wanted to find out for himself, so he began to do his own research, reading mainstream news on both sides, as well as reports by independent citizen journalists. We have to stand and fight for the constitution our forefathers created. And then theres Vigo Countyin Indianathe quintessential bellwether that has correctly picked the winner in all but two elections since 1888. I think we needed somebody like him.. Supreme Court nominees also matter a lot to Myers in this election. I know a lot of people dont like him, because of his tweets and things that he says, and I kind of agree with that. In Ridgway, Biden supporters were more difficult to find and more reluctant to talk than Trump supporters, but a few yard signs were dotted around. This is a high farming community.. He loves his country to the point where he wants it to do well.. The ongoing coronavirus restrictions seem to be nudging people to the right, but six weeks out from the election and with the October surprises still to come, the Keystone State could be the clincher for either candidate. The bellwethers ability to predict the winner has been attributed to a large swath of voters willing to switch party preference from one election to the next. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. bellwether. Thats a highly Democratic area, but people see whats going on and theyre not happy, Sam said. List of election bellwether counties in the United States